Finally we get to see a bit of red. At least punters like us, who have missed this entire advance from the Draghi low can go and get ourselves a cup of coffee and ponder our next move! The way the DAX traded late in the session yesterday, it looked like the market was beginning to build in expectations of a rate cut, a significant EFSF programme for Spain, a reactivation of the SMP, an ESM banking license and an LTRO as an added bonus....all this Thursday alone. If ever there's been a case of hope built into an event (the ECB meeting), then this one has to rank right up there amongst the all-timers. So far, the market loves whatever it is smoking. But so did all us cycling lovers before the most hyped up Road Race finish that was meant to bring Gold for Team Wiggins/Cavendish last Sat. We know what happened. Expectations are a bad mantra to follow. Have none and life's cool. Things are on edge here, as today's Daily will go onto prove. We choose the European 600 Index chart to present the picture that should now be firmly etched in the minds of every market participant. This picture takes a more cultured medium-term view, which should make for a welcome change as many of us have been slavishly slapped around by the tape like little kids since late last week. Since the Index topped in early 2011, a powerful downtrend line has been operative. Critically, price has now almost approached this downtrend line. Simultaneously, an uptrend line has caught three solid touch-points since the late summer low of last year. This makes for an extremely juicy set-up. One side of the market is going to give way...and soon.
CropCircles Murrey Math char. I believe this author is a friend of TH Murrey.
CropCircles says:
Still short the S&P from 1421.88 "THE TOP", took profits from the not getting greedy line. Hit it again at 1374.81, 1375, and again today on the close. Could consolidate here for about a week and a half which is preferd in order to trap a few bulls that see it as an opportunity to get on board, only to be taken to out as the market fails to hold 1375. Those that are long are in for sure and holding, looking for new highs. Still short The Greatest Ponzi in the Sept. from 151.15 and 152.28. Still long gold from 1562.50
Here is my chart. I have 0 exposure at this moment. I will be on vacation starting next week. GLTA.
update: 8/1/12, about 2:30
As GS said yesterda, no QE today. I see further down from here. Volume weighted targets are 1367 1346 1327. ES quickly hit 1367 then pulled back. Let's see what's next.
Also showed multi-timeframe clouds. it generates good signal for trend validation. Short Term cloud is below Long term right now. Unless es takes out previous high in very short time, LT cloud will serve as resistance until we bottom again.
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